河北省工业结构调整对碳排放影响的实证分析
Empirical Analysis on the Influence of Industrial Structure Adjustment on Carbon Emission in Hebei Province
摘要: 河北省工业虽然经过几十年的发展经济总量已得到快速上升，但没有摆脱粗放式的增长模式，高能耗的产业结构格局没有根本改变。本文选取河北省1991~2014年工业相关数据，对河北省工业结构调整对碳排放的影响进行实证分析。结果显示：影响河北省工业碳排放的主要产业结构调整因素为工业总规模、能源消费强度和工业技术进步。工业总规模对工业碳排放有正向影响，能源使用效率和技术进步对工业碳排放有负向影响。
Abstract:
The industry in Hebei, which has been rising rapidly after decades of economic development, has not shaken off its extensive growth pattern, and the structure of energy-intensive industries has not changed fundamentally. This paper selects the industrial data of Hebei province from 1991 to 2014, and makes an empirical analysis on the influence of industrial structure adjustment on carbon emission. The results show that the main industrial structure adjustment factors affecting industrial carbon emission in Hebei province are industrial scale, energy consumption intensity and industrial technological progress. The total industrial scale has a positive impact on industrial carbon emission, and energy use efficiency and technological progress have negative impact on industrial carbon emission.
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