敏感性工程社会稳定风险事件人员伤亡的影响因素研究

A Study on the Influencing Factors of Casualties of Sensitive Project Social Stability Risk Events

摘要: 近年来社会稳定风险事件频发，部分事件出现人员伤亡，严重影响社会稳定。本文利用定性比较分析方法对16件敏感性工程社会稳定风险事件进行探究，发现公众激烈示威和大规模参与是发生人员伤亡的必要条件，政府暴力应对、经济利益诉求以及蒙蔽、谣言、激烈示威三因素同时存在是影响人员伤亡最为突出的三种条件组合。对此，从政府和公众两大角度提出政策建议，政府应尽量信息透明、尊重公众知情权和参与权，关注社会舆情，谨慎对待公众经济利益诉求，避免暴力应对示威公众；公众应提高理性判断能力，理性表达诉求。

Abstract: Social stability risk events occurred frequently in recent years, parts of the events caused casualties, which affected social stability seriously. In this paper, qualitative comparative analysis is used to explore 16 pieces of social stability risk events of sensitive projects. It is found that public fierce demonstrations and large-scale participation are necessary conditions for the occurrence of casualties, dealing with violence of government, appeal for economic interests and concurrence of beclouded, rumor and fierce demonstrations are the three most important combinations of conditions that affect the casualties. On this basis, recommendations are put forward from the perspective of government and the public: the government should try to disclose information, respect the public rights, pay attention to public opinion, treat the public interest demands cautiously and avoid against the public violently. Furthermore, the public should identify the authenticity of the messages and express appeals reasoningly.