云南农村居民消费影响因素分析

Analysis of Effect Factors of Yunnan Rural Residents’ Consumption

摘要: 提高农村居民消费水平对提升云南经济整体发展水平具有重要的战略意义。本文选择1991~2012年间云南农村居民消费支出的相关数据，采用主成分回归方法对影响农村居民消费的因素进行分析。研究结果表明：农村居民人均纯收入与农村居民消费水平呈显著正相关关系；农村居民消费支出对CPI变动比较敏感；农村居民消费结构的变化与农村居民消费水平呈显著负相关关系。

Abstract: Raising the level of rural residents’ consumption has important strategic significance to promote the development of economy in Yunnan. This paper chooses the relevant data of Yunnan’s rural residents’ consumption between 1991 and 2012, and uses principal component regression method to analyze the factors which influence the rural residents’ consumption. The results show that the average net income of rural residents has significantly positive correlation relationship with the rural residents’ consumption, the rural residents’ consumption is more sensitive to the changes of CPI, as well, the consumption structure of rural residents has significant negative correlation relationship with the rural residents’ consumption.